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Singularity by 2045 - incredible life in a tamed world

August 04 2008 / by futuretalk
Category: Other   Year: General   Rating: 4 Hot

By Dick Pelletier

Imagine living in an ageless, disease-free body with youthful looks, superhuman strength and a brain that can out-think computers. Now further imagine an affluent, happy, crime-free population residing in a world terraformed for comfort without dangerous storms, tsunamis, or unbearable weather.

This is the vision many forward-thinkers believe humanity can achieve during this century. Although life seems to rush by at rocket speeds today, the future will advance even faster. Author James John Bell, in his Exploring the Singularity article in The Futurist says, “We won’t just experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century – it will be more like 20,000 years.”

Scientists describe the Singularity as a point in time when technological progress becomes so rapid that it radically transforms humankind at a faster rate than anyone alive today can comprehend. Biotech, nanotech, infotech, and cognitive science will all interplay causing us to speed towards this Singularity.

Acclaimed futurist and author Ray Kurzweil argues in his book, The Singularity is Near, that we could experience this Singularity by as early as 2045.

Kurzweil predicts over the next 10 to 20 years, biotech scientists will learn to greatly slow aging and eliminate most diseases. In the 2030s, he says, nanotech will “finish the job” allowing for the redesign of the human body into an almost immortal form.

By mid-2020s, techno-enthusiasts claim pollution-free nano-replicators will be available to provide most food, clothing and household gadgets at little or no cost; and fully immersive virtual reality will create make-believe environments indiscernible from reality to satisfy even the most extreme entertainment desires.

Computers and artificial intelligence will provide the next step towards the Singularity: in the 2030s, machines will develop abilities to build copies of themselves with each generation becoming exponentially more intelligent.

By mid-2030s, cognitive scientists will unravel many of the mind’s mysteries, unlocking tremendous logic which will help everyone clearly see the disadvantages to negative thoughts of crime and selfishness. By 2040, direct neuron-to-silicon interfaces will become available combining computer speed and logic with human awareness, compassion and reasoning into a single powerful body that becomes the new us!

Forward-thinkers believe by 2050, explosive information growth created by the Singularity could thrust our world into what astronomer Nikolai Kardashev describes as a “Type 1” civilization – 150 years earlier than some have predicted – giving us abilities to terraform our planet making it free from earthquakes, hurricanes, tsunamis and dangerous weather.

Other possible advancements from 2050 to 2100 could include colonies on Moon, Mars and beyond, finding and harnessing wormholes that break “light speed” barriers in extraterrestrial travel, and whisking information through time to meet ourselves at an earlier age, or go forward and see what the future has in store for us. It may even become possible to gather scanned minds from lost loved ones before their death enabling them to continue living in our time. How wild would that be?

Could this extraordinary future happen? Bold futurists suggest if we achieve the Singularity by 2045, all these events are possible – and medical improvements expected between 2010 and 2030 will enable most people alive today to survive and become part of this truly “magical future.” Comments welcome

What in your mind will be the biggest benefit of the Singularity?

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Comment Thread (9 Responses)

  1. My last comment was deleted. Not suprising; censorship would probably be a big part of Mr. Pelletier’s future.

    Posted by: Bogey156   August 04, 2008
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  2. Bogey156, I have no idea what you are talking about; and why do you think censorship would be a big part of my future? Please clarify. Thanks.

    Posted by: futuretalk   August 04, 2008
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  3. Selfishness a negative thought? That’s a very narrowscoped viewpoint I wouldn’t expect from a “Futurist”. Especially with the onset of full VR/AR, selfishness could be our destiny? (Why do we need anyone else in OUR perfect world?)

    Also, consider the possibility that a selfish – objectivist – mindset might be what kick starts the singularity in the first place? (Look up the Neo Tech Aristotle timeline)

    Posted by: StuartDobson   August 05, 2008
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  4. Expecting the Singularity to occur by 2045 is a tad less plausible than the Second Coming.

    Posted by: adbatstone80   August 05, 2008
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  5. The logic behind “20,000 years of progress happening in a hundred years” comes from Peter Russell’s book The White Hole in Time – See his time-map of progress http://www.diagnosis2012.co.uk/time.gif

    Posted by: lastwizards   August 05, 2008
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  6. “http://www.diagnosis2012.co.uk/time.gif”

    Just came back from that site. It’s just more of that 2012 crap, don’t bother.

    Posted by: adbatstone80   August 05, 2008
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  7. Reasons for being positive:

    We can forecast all sorts of horrific events that would make our life miserable, or even bring it to an end; or we can think positive and truly believe that future science and technologies will be there when we need them and will one day provide an indefinite lifespan for everyone on Earth.

    I believe the more that people see the future as a positive encounter; the better chance humanity has of realizing the kind of future that most people want.

    I would like to see everyone become more positive – let’s leave the negative imaging for the nightly newscasts; those who don’t want to hear it can just tune it out.

    Comments welcome.

    Posted by: futuretalk   August 05, 2008
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  8. Should have been more specific, forget the 2012 geeks (they just happened to post this image on their site and have nothing to do with it). This is a spiral graph that charts “technological progress” that is useful for this discussion, it comes from an older book called The White Hole in Time. The concept of change that is implied here, and backed up with stats like Moore’s Law, is referred to in a number of books written by those who profited heavily in the early 90’s on the consumer adoption of the internet, cell phones, etc., and it is pointed to today by investors in true nanotech, AI, robotics, UAVs, autonomous UCAVs, etc:

    Posted by: lastwizards   August 05, 2008
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  9. And why exactly this graph uses the spiral? You cannot just use whatever shape you want to plot your points and think that it proves something. I could just as well use a circle and claim that we are not going anywhere and are bound to end up wherever we started.

    Posted by: johnfrink   August 06, 2008
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