September 17 2008 / by Alvis Brigis
Category: Environment Year: 2018 Rating: 5 Hot
Yesterday, YouTube co-founder Chad Hurley shot off some optimistic predictions about the web video industry. He opined that ten years from now “online video broadcasting will be the most ubiquitous and accessible form of communication.”
I certainly buy that web video broadcasting will be near ubiquitous. Hurley’s reasoning nicely reflects my own:
“The tools for video recording will continue to become smaller and more affordable. Personal media devices will be universal and interconnected. Even more people will have the opportunity to record and share even more video with a small group of friends or everyone around the world.”
But I am not sure that I’m sold on web video as the “most accessible form of communication”.
Why? Not because I think it won’t explode – web video will to be massive by 2018. Rather, I believe it’s possible that some nascent comm technology may just zoom past web video during that span, or more likely, subsume it.
In particular, I am very big on the potential of BCIs and Virtual Worlds, and think either or both could diffuse more quickly as the emphasis shifts from the face more directly to the brain. I can definitely envision a future in which video becomes a sub-component of a more interactive and compelling macro brain-to-brain communication process.
Hurley concludes that “Over the next decade, people will be at the center of their video and media experience. More and more consumers will become creators. We will continue to help give people unlimited options and access to information, and the world will be a smaller place.”
I wholeheartedly agree, but believe that in order for that to happen new virtual, semantic and interface technologies will need to emerge to make it happen. And once they fully emerge (imagine Second Life in 2013, or the fourth generation Emotiv headset of 2016), they may just, ironically, steal the show.